A year ago,in my Arabic book,I wrote what could be translated as follows :
it is very important to identify the direct cause that will kill most people,because this danger is logically the most important,..here we find some kind of a law,..THE REMOTE CAUSES UNFOLD FIRST,..for example,we were thinking about the astronomical dangers,like the contraction of the universe,or the fade of the sun,or a hit from meteoroid,before the mid of the twentieth century,..later,near the end of the century we were concerned more about the environmental dangers,like the Global warming and the energy shortage,...but when the dangers of a global economic collapse and the global terrorism began to unfold,our concerns shifted more toward them,simply because it was easy to understand that the global economic collapse or the spread of global terrorism are capable of destroying our civilization immediately,without needing to wait for the environmental dangers to do the job,..but the question is,why does the remote dangers unfold first??
the answer is simple,..the remote dangers are less periodic,..meaning that their periods are less frequent,...and this makes them easier for observation.
now,let us examine the mechanism which happens when a certain danger unfolds,..this elementary danger ignites the fuse of another more periodic,quicker,and more destructive danger,..and the new danger will do the same after some time,...till we come to the direct cause that will do the killing,...it is more logical to expect that the economic collapse would be the direct cause of massive death,than the shortage of fuel,for example,in spite the fact that concerns about peak oil was one of the main reasons which ignited the economic collapse in the first place.
the question now is,..will the economic collapse ignite the fuse of a quicker and more destructive danger??
there are lot of warnings about a global political unrest if the economic collapse was to continue,..this is very logical conclusion,...but because of the strong precautions against any political unrest,this scenario probably won't materialize,..but for sure,the economic threats ignited the fuse of wide awareness of the probability of a global collapse.
as I explained,..the recent dangers to unfold are the quicker in their destruction,..this is why the collapse takes its accelerating course,..if the clear understanding and awareness of the collapse spread to a certain degree, it will ignite the fuse of rumors and partial understanding,and this phase will be quicker and much more destructive,...at this point,I want to clarify what I mentioned in a past post on my blog,..I said that the spread of the state of doubt is slower than the spread of the state of complete awareness,because the person who reached the state of complete awareness tends more to tell others about it,..but if these declarations were to be suppressed(resistance),..the result will be a relatively slow spread of complete awareness,but the accelerating course will be continued with another quicker phase of partial understanding,doubts and rumors,..by this sequence,we will quickly reach a killer degree of mental confusion,..this will be the direct cause of our collapse,..a cause that really suits our extremely superior modern civilization