with every minute of delay,we lose any chance for putting down a very heavy load,with any relative gradualness,because with every minute,our force is exhausted

open letter to world leaders

The fate of human civilization is not in humans hands,..it can be calculated with a very high degree of certainty..this is the truth which was often obscured by most of the modern philosophies,as a kind of resisting the inevitable collapse,..but with more of this resistance,the situation had become worse,...the collapse had become more destructive,.. it is the responsibility of all world leaders to stop this resistance,by declaring the truth and letting civilization to fall now,..its fall today will be much better than its fall tomorrow,..there is no excuse depending on the idea that the subject is very hard to study and judge,..the data is here,it was here years ago,we only need enough courage to face the truth

2009/10/29

End of Civilization

During 2 million years,human life has been primitive(or near primitive),and then suddenly jumped,during 200 years only,to a very high level,...any sudden change in any system would lead to upsetting the balance of it,and the loss of its stability,...and as far as the size and the sharpness of this sudden change,comes the size of the imbalance,....it is clear from the above-mentioned figures,that the loss of stability in human life had been enormous,...this can be viewed as a sharp violation of a well-established system,continued for tens of thousands of years,...and this system which was breached resists this violation by what is like a force that attracts civilization once again to the bottom,leading to its sudden collapse once it loses the strength of bullish surge,...and since, the collapse of anything takes much less time than the time of its construction,..so,the collapse will happen very fast and from very high level,..its dash will be huge,..it is impossible to turn to stability at the primitive level once again,..the system has to go beyond that to the situation of disintegration.
Partial acceptance of these facts,in light of scientific evidence and global news which confirm this finding,is a state of lying worse than the state of full denial that existed years ago,..indeed,this state of lying is increasing rapidly so that it may be able to obscure the facts that are unfolding every day, in an attempt to resist and delay the start of the collapse,....consequently,the amount of shock that will occur due to facing the truth,is greater now than ever,...it is clear that the loss of confidence will be much greater now,...the amount of this shock,will determine the strength and the speed of the collapse,and therefore the level of destruction which would result,because the high speed cripples the process of adaptation.
The time spent on the process of collapse is reduced as the collapse is delayed,but this reduction happens in a lower rate than the rate by which the scale of the devastation is increased as the result of this delay,..this is due to the fact that the time spent on the process of collapse is a variable tends to zero,....however,the fact that this time is getting to be very short, raises the question of the scenario of events that could occur in such a very short period of time and create this huge amount of destruction,..by the modern means of communication and information,which mounted to a formidable force,the shock of the truth will reach everyone almost at the same time,..the impact of this knowledge will be strong enough to paralyze the mind of most people,leading to a huge disturbance in people's life,and even,to a huge disturbance in thier state of health,in a sudden and deadly way,....this knowledge will not come from a strong news(such as a major war),..in fact ,its impact will not return to its own strength but to the very high degree of vulnerability in which humans had become,...the powerful role of the media and communication will not begin only when this recent news is spreed,but continued for many years to pave the way for this moment by spreading the reasons that led to this current situation of very high fragility,..and even pushing this fragility to the deepest level,which is the human mind,..making it the weakest point in the structure,..the point at which the chain be cut off,and on which the entire structure will break down.
It is noted that at the stages of the rise of civilization,this rise was the force which prevented the process of the collapse from beginning,...getting higher, the force pulling civilization downward became stronger,..it was required to rise faster and faster to resist it,..the speed of this rise reached a very high rate in the last years of the twentieth century,..it became impossible to continue this rapid rise,..with the beginning of the new century,we needed enormous resistance just to keep our current level,...with more delay,,..the more fragile and sensitive the building will get(due to aggravation of lying),...and the amount of resistance required to prevent the collapse will be practically impossible,...at this point,the collapse will happen immediately,because of a usual incident,with a very limited power.
The final phase of any acceleration has tremendous effects which occur in a very short period of time,so,do not be fooled by the observation that life is still going around us in almost its usual manner,..and try to observe the deep changes instead of the superficial ones,..I believe that we are talking about weeks,not months,now.
Finally,it is true that there are differences between one country and another,but the impact of these differences will appear in the scale of destruction and the speed of the collapse,more than appearing in its timing.

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  1. I like the piece by Magdy Halim a great deal. It almost takes the concept to the level of a problem in physics. It gives an almost mathematical certainty to the cycle of human history. I have often feared that, in spite of the availability and lessons of the historic record, our species may be incapable of sufficiently altering the way we interact with each other and the environment in time to avoid extinction.

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